Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 316.282256 359.672016 408.394441 467.456737 537.512936 618.447112 719.734322
2025-01-05 246.567760 300.990751 367.840352 457.127120 574.994786 727.776314 945.013448
2025-01-12 211.459937 270.061918 346.349559 455.058900 609.571475 827.065170 1167.288577
2025-01-19 180.186532 237.752240 315.936668 432.864035 608.709190 872.779079 1319.117258
2025-01-26 169.006236 230.259179 317.022272 453.266733 670.441511 1019.649250 1661.817275
2025-02-02 161.696531 226.821996 322.702918 480.297489 745.863993 1202.430232 2116.688908
2025-02-09 149.483950 214.523154 313.232710 481.507167 778.198227 1317.483775 2479.208178
2025-02-16 136.345378 199.321320 297.303245 469.458232 784.750354 1385.812773 2766.335749
2025-02-23 125.657765 186.836191 284.224075 460.215272 794.303175 1460.989700 3091.765423
2025-03-02 120.192607 182.089770 283.160464 471.674867 844.471915 1628.934047 3697.154099
2025-03-09 113.277817 174.306298 276.099244 471.100580 870.466135 1750.600731 4231.994064
2025-03-16 105.680944 164.733648 264.994327 461.431823 875.924766 1826.692592 4671.276073
2025-03-23 100.135553 158.394395 259.325477 462.255499 905.556243 1971.577888 5398.438934
2025-03-30 93.544493 149.762313 248.795353 452.243734 909.852698 2055.666291 5978.486358
2025-04-06 88.690883 143.792585 242.574726 450.188999 932.003212 2192.584637 6821.811381
2025-04-13 81.779872 133.656306 227.703347 428.288141 903.340655 2182.664831 7107.441042
2025-04-20 80.565113 133.729046 232.226534 448.421633 981.425101 2502.539618 8955.420695
2025-04-27 80.072035 135.066822 239.291675 475.091352 1081.963687 2927.336225 11668.811385
2025-05-04 76.871347 131.075555 235.383504 476.284755 1114.935311 3145.475661 13567.621020
2025-05-11 72.617370 124.796486 226.331064 464.397476 1109.525907 3230.430434 14809.898672
2025-05-18 68.954752 119.437167 218.775381 455.277851 1110.651300 3340.861160 16337.026239
2025-05-25 67.427679 118.139603 219.578090 466.584445 1174.231588 3711.304297 20075.959232
2025-06-01 64.951135 114.804433 215.789123 466.017847 1201.810207 3951.571864 23232.731279